CISNES NEGROS, CORONAVIRUS Y el porvenir (análisis no especulativo) *black Sawn Intelligence*

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BAJAR... PDF INGLES (5 pages, 7 min lecture)

The concept of the "black Swans", used by the author, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, refers to those innovations that are never predicted, however they happen and generate deep impacts on social and business networks around complete world. According to Taleb, they are unexpected because those who should predict it, belong to the domain that will be affected by this innovation and they are influenced by the vision of the evolution of their own business, while the Black Swans come from another domain (outside the box) and generate a violent disruption, outsiders to the rules of the invaded Dominion. A classic case is the lack of prediction of the emerge of internet in the last century or even closer ... (follow)